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National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
AT

Leamington
1 - 2
Alfreton

Usher-Shipway (13')
Edwards (72'), Lane (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Riley (51'), Hobson (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 2-2 Telford
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Leamington FCDrawAlfreton Town
42.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)77.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.4% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)33.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)69.99% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 42.13%
    Alfreton Town 30.66%
    Draw 27.19%
Leamington FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 2-2 Telford
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Leamington
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-0 Kettering
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-0 Banbury
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Alfreton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Hereford
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 Chorley
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-3 Alfreton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North


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