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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Hereford United |
34.18% ( 0.02) | 25.7% ( 0.02) | 40.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( -0.08) | 49.12% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( -0.07) | 71.19% ( 0.07) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( -0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.98% ( -0.03) | 63.02% ( 0.04) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.05) | 24.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( -0.08) | 58.51% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.11% |
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