SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scarborough Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Hereford United |
47.64% ( 0.01) | 25.75% ( -0.04) | 26.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( 0.18) | 52.5% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( 0.15) | 74.17% ( -0.16) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.08) | 22.04% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( 0.12) | 55.37% ( -0.12) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( 0.12) | 34.6% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.68% ( 0.13) | 71.32% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.61% |
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