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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
0 - 2
Boston

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ward (42'), Knowles (84' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 5-1 Southport
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawBoston United
37.09% (0.46100000000001 0.46) 26.54% (0.09 0.09) 36.36% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-0.391 -0.39)52.46% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (-0.337 -0.34)74.13% (0.331 0.33)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.084000000000003 0.08)27.37% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (0.108 0.11)62.84% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.514 -0.51)27.8% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.66 -0.66)63.39% (0.654 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Southport 37.09%
    Boston United 36.36%
    Draw 26.54%
SouthportDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.174 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spennymoor 5-1 Southport
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Southport
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-4 Warrington Town
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Southport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-1 South Shields
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-1 Boston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 4-1 Telford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-2 Boston
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-1 Fylde
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North


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