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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Worthing |
25.94% ( 0.44) | 24.84% ( 0.07) | 49.22% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( 0.06) | 49.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( 0.05) | 71.34% ( -0.05) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.4) | 33.42% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( 0.43) | 70.04% ( -0.44) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.19) | 20.05% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( -0.31) | 52.27% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 49.21% |
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