SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dartford win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dartford |
45.47% ( 1.08) | 25.48% ( -0.16) | 29.05% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 53.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% ( 0.22) | 50% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( 0.2) | 71.98% ( -0.2) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( 0.59) | 21.97% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( 0.89) | 55.27% ( -0.89) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.55) | 31.39% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( -0.64) | 67.76% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.05% |
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