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H&
National League South | Gameweek 24
Dec 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
1 - 3
Dartford

McCarthy (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wall (28', 75'), Newton (59')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 1-3 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawDartford
46.3% (1.353 1.35) 23.75% (-0.323 -0.32) 29.95% (-1.028 -1.03)
Both teams to score 59.94% (0.55 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (0.979 0.98)41.84% (-0.98 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (0.98 0.98)64.25% (-0.98 -0.98)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.94799999999999 0.95)18.3% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (1.582 1.58)49.38% (-1.582 -1.58)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.179 -0.18)26.63% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.238 -0.24)61.87% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 46.3%
    Dartford 29.95%
    Draw 23.75%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawDartford
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.107 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.215 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.155 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.125 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.323 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.236 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 29.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slough 1-3 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-5 Worthing
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-3 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Dartford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Dartford
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-1 Braintree
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South


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