Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Bath City win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
