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National League South | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
0 - 1
Hemel Hempstead


Bramble (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (79' pen.)
Matthews (45+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 5-2 Welling United
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawHemel Hempstead Town
34.78% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 38.01% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)55.29% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)76.51% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.31% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)28.2% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)63.89% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 34.78%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 38%
    Draw 27.21%
Welling UnitedDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 34.78%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Truro City 5-2 Welling United
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-0 Hampton
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Welling United
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South


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