National League South | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
Evans (60'),
Charles (74'),
Jeffers (90+1')
James (2')
Chinedu (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hedges (6'), Elliott-Wheeler (28'), Sommerton (36'), Coppin (58')
Ragguette (90+5'), Aziaya (90'),
Fasanmade (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Salisbury.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.
| Result |
| St Albans City | Draw | Salisbury |
37.66% ( -0.01) | 24.31% ( -0) | 38.03% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( 0.01) |
| 57.65% ( 0.01) | 42.35% ( -0.01) |
| 35.25% ( 0.01) | 64.75% ( -0.01) |
| 77.58% ( 0) | 22.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0) | 55.94% ( -0) |
| 77.77% ( 0.01) | 22.23% ( -0.01) |
