Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Chelmsford City
18.95% ( 0.05)	23.42% ( -0.02)	57.62% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.73% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

0.16)

50.84% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

0.14)

72.72% (

-0.14)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59% (

0.15)

41% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

0.13)

77.55% (

-0.13)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

0.05)

17.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.17% (

0.08)

47.83% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Welling United 18.95%

Chelmsford City 57.61%

Draw 23.42%

Welling United	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.95%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.61%