SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
18.95% ( 0.05) | 23.42% ( -0.02) | 57.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( 0.16) | 50.84% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.14) | 72.72% ( -0.14) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59% ( 0.15) | 41% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.45% ( 0.13) | 77.55% ( -0.13) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( 0.05) | 17.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.17% ( 0.08) | 47.83% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.95% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.9% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.61% |
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