SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
44.35% ( 0.01) | 23.71% ( -0) | 31.94% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( 0.01) | 40.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.01) | 63.08% ( -0.01) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( 0) | 18.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.04% ( 0.01) | 49.96% ( -0.01) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0) | 24.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( 0.01) | 59.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.94% |
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