SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
22.99% ( 0.03) | 22.79% ( 0.02) | 54.21% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( -0.05) | 43.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.41% ( -0.05) | 65.59% ( 0.05) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( 0) | 32.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% ( 0) | 69.15% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( -0.03) | 15.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% ( -0.06) | 45.08% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.99% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.21% |
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