SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
63.96% ( 0.05) | 19.89% ( -0.04) | 16.14% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( 0.14) | 40.23% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( 0.14) | 62.6% ( -0.14) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% ( 0.05) | 11.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.73% ( 0.12) | 37.26% ( -0.12) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( 0.06) | 38.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.22% ( 0.06) | 74.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.14% |
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