SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Hartlepool United |
53.93% ( -0.62) | 23.48% ( 0.37) | 22.59% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% ( -1.31) | 46.64% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% ( -1.24) | 68.91% ( 1.24) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% ( -0.7) | 17.21% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.51% ( -1.24) | 47.49% ( 1.24) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.5) | 34.88% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.37% ( -0.53) | 71.62% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.81% Total : 53.93% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.59% |
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