SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
50.21% ( -0.34) | 23.76% ( 0.04) | 26.02% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( 0.09) | 44.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( 0.09) | 66.97% ( -0.09) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( -0.1) | 17.83% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( -0.17) | 48.58% ( 0.16) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.29) | 30.86% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( 0.33) | 67.14% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 26.02% |
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