Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
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