SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for York City had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Halifax Town |
24.83% ( 0.09) | 25.48% ( -0.07) | 49.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( 0.33) | 52.73% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( 0.28) | 74.36% ( -0.28) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.26) | 36.23% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( 0.26) | 73.01% ( -0.26) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.12) | 21.24% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.19) | 54.14% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.83% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.7% |
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