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National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Technique Stadium
Chesterfield
4 - 0
York City
Banks (49'), Naylor (61'), Grigg (72', 82')
Dobra (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castro (90')
Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-1 York City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawYork City
72.61% (0.235 0.23) 16.36% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 11.03% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.29% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)35.71% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.22% (-0.213 -0.21)57.78% (0.216 0.22)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)29.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (-0.43 -0.43)42.62% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (-0.369 -0.37)78.97% (0.373 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 72.61%
    York City 11.03%
    Draw 16.36%
ChesterfieldDrawYork City
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.55% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.73% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 72.61%
1-1 @ 7.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 11.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Bromley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Halifax
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-1 York City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 2-2 Bromley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-2 York City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: York City 2-2 Solihull
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 2-4 Barnet
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-2 York City
Saturday, September 23 at 12.30pm in National League

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