SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
72.61% ( 0.23) | 16.36% ( -0.07) | 11.03% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.19) | 35.71% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% ( -0.21) | 57.78% ( 0.22) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( 0.01) | 8.55% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.41% ( 0.01) | 29.59% ( -0.01) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0.43) | 42.62% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.03% ( -0.37) | 78.97% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
| 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 72.61% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.36% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 11.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
