Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Azerbaijan | Draw | Luxembourg |
36.4% | 24.77% | 38.83% |
Both teams to score 58.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.4% | 44.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.04% | 66.97% |
Azerbaijan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% | 24.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.6% | 58.4% |
Luxembourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% | 22.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.45% | 56.55% |
Score Analysis |
Azerbaijan | Draw | Luxembourg |
2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.83% |
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