SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Estonia win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Sweden |
23.38% ( 0.26) | 22.1% ( 0.34) | 54.52% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.43% ( -1.31) | 39.57% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.08% ( -1.38) | 61.92% ( 1.38) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.51) | 30.28% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( -0.61) | 66.45% ( 0.62) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.63) | 14.5% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% ( -1.24) | 42.51% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estonia | Draw | Sweden |
| 2-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.38% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.52% |
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