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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
LN

Portugal
5 - 0
Luxembourg

Ronaldo (8' pen., 13' pen., 87'), Fernandes (17'), Palhinha (69')
Mendes (22'), Cancelo (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.85%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.33%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawLuxembourg
69.25%20.89%9.86%
Both teams to score 34.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3%57.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55%78.45%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18%15.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55%44.99%
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.05%58.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.89%90.1%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 69.24%
    Luxembourg 9.86%
    Draw 20.89%
PortugalDrawLuxembourg
1-0 @ 17.19%
2-0 @ 15.85%
3-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 8.38%
3-1 @ 5.15%
4-0 @ 4.49%
4-1 @ 2.37%
5-0 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 69.24%
0-0 @ 9.33%
1-1 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.89%
0-1 @ 4.93%
1-2 @ 2.4%
0-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 9.86%

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