Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.85%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.33%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Luxembourg
69.25%	20.89%	9.86%

Both teams to score 34.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.3%

57.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.55%

78.45%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18%

15.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55%

44.99%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.05%

58.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.89%

90.1%

Score Analysis

Portugal 69.24%

Luxembourg 9.86%

Draw 20.89%

Portugal	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 17.19% 2-0 @ 15.85% 3-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-0 @ 4.49% 4-1 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.04% Total : 69.24%	0-0 @ 9.33% 1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.89%	0-1 @ 4.93% 1-2 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.23% Total : 9.86%