Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.85%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.33%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result | ||
Portugal | Draw | Luxembourg |
69.25% | 20.89% | 9.86% |
Both teams to score 34.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.3% | 57.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.55% | 78.45% |
Portugal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% | 15.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55% | 44.99% |
Luxembourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.05% | 58.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.89% | 90.1% |
Score Analysis |
Portugal | Draw | Luxembourg |
1-0 @ 17.19% 2-0 @ 15.85% 3-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-0 @ 4.49% 4-1 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.04% Total : 69.24% | 0-0 @ 9.33% 1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.89% | 0-1 @ 4.93% 1-2 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.23% Total : 9.86% |
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