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GN
Nations League | League A
Jun 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
EN

Germany
1 - 1
England

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (88' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Hungary vs. Germany
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Germany 2-1 England

Southgate's choice to go with an experimental XI did not pay dividends in Budapest, but there are several big-hitters ready and waiting to ensure England can return to scoring ways against a Germany defence that is far from impenetrable. An increase in ruthlessness could have seen Germany enter this contest with three points instead of one, but rival turf has not been kind to England in the Nations League, and we do not expect Southgate to inspire a turnaround in fortunes after only 72 hours. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for England had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawEngland
48.22% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 27.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (-0.058 -0.06)47.85% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)70.03% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)19.89% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)52.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.74% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.064 -0.06)68.16% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Germany 48.22%
    England 27.09%
    Draw 24.69%
GermanyDrawEngland
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Italy 1-1 Germany
Saturday, June 4 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Israel
Saturday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Armenia 1-4 Germany
Sunday, November 14 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Germany 9-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, November 11 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-4 Germany
Monday, October 11 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Hungary 1-0 England
Saturday, June 4 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 3-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 2-1 Switzerland
Saturday, March 26 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 0-10 England
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: England 5-0 Albania
Friday, November 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: England 1-1 Hungary
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe


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