San Marino
0 - 10
England

Tomassini (16'), Rossi (26'), D'Addario (38'), Battistini (54')
Rossi (68')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Maguire (6'), Saka (79'), Fabbri (15' og.), Kane (27' pen., 32', 39' pen., 42'), Smith Rowe (58'), Mings (69'), Abraham (78')
Abraham (73')

Build‑up

England set new competitive record with double-figure San Marino win

England qualify for 2022 World Cup after San Marino mauling

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 6.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 21.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (18.63%) and 0-3 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.01%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-10 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	England
6.86%	20.87%	72.27%

Both teams to score 24.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.54%

64.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.49%

83.51%

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

30.07%

69.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.06%

94.94%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81%

17.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.55%

47.46%

Score Analysis

San Marino 6.86%

England 72.25%

Draw 20.86%

San Marino	Draw	England
1-0 @ 4.3% 2-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.21% Total : 6.86%	0-0 @ 12.01% 1-1 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.09% Total : 20.86%	0-1 @ 21.16% 0-2 @ 18.63% 0-3 @ 10.93% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-4 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 3.91% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-5 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.71% Total : 72.25%