Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 6.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 21.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (18.63%) and 0-3 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.01%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-10 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
