SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Italy had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Italy win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Germany |
30.85% ( 0.17) | 23.62% ( 0.03) | 45.53% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.94% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.05) | 40.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( -0.05) | 63.14% ( 0.05) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.09) | 25.51% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( 0.12) | 60.36% ( -0.12) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( -0.1) | 18.18% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( -0.17) | 49.18% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | Germany |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.53% |
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