SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Gibraltar |
55.56% ( -0) | 25.22% ( -0) | 19.22% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.81% ( 0.03) | 57.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% ( 0.02) | 78.05% ( -0.02) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( 0.01) | 20.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( 0.02) | 53.15% ( -0.01) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.03) | 44.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.55% ( 0.02) | 80.46% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Gibraltar |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.22% |
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