Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Italy had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%).
