SM
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | France | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 5 | -9 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for France had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | France |
47.85% ( 2.02) | 24.59% ( -0.5) | 27.56% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% ( 1.25) | 47.08% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% ( 1.15) | 69.31% ( -1.14) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 1.38) | 19.74% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.24% ( 2.18) | 51.77% ( -2.17) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( -0.46) | 30.98% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% ( -0.55) | 67.28% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | France |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.57% |
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