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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals
Mar 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
NM

Italy
0 - 1
N. Macedonia

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Trajkovski (90+2')
Spirovski (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
ItalyDrawNorth Macedonia
55.68%26.61%17.71%
Both teams to score 38.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.72%63.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.33%82.67%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92%23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08%56.92%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.15%49.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.45%84.55%
Score Analysis
    Italy 55.67%
    North Macedonia 17.71%
    Draw 26.6%
ItalyDrawNorth Macedonia
1-0 @ 16.86%
2-0 @ 12.36%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.21%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 55.67%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 3%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 17.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-0 Italy
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Italy 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, November 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Belgium
Sunday, October 10 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 1-2 Spain
Wednesday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Italy 5-0 Lithuania
Wednesday, September 8 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Switzerland 0-0 Italy
Sunday, September 5 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: N. Macedonia 3-1 Iceland
Sunday, November 14 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Armenia 0-5 N. Macedonia
Thursday, November 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-4 Germany
Monday, October 11 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-4 N. Macedonia
Friday, October 8 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-0 Romania
Wednesday, September 8 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Iceland 2-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe


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