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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
SN

Italy
1 - 1
Switzerland

Di Lorenzo (36')
Chiesa (43'), Insigne (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Widmer (11')
Schar (77'), Akanji (81'), Garcia (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
ItalyDrawSwitzerland
55.77%26.1%18.13%
Both teams to score 40.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72%61.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8%81.2%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81%22.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41%55.59%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.88%48.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.68%83.32%
Score Analysis
    Italy 55.77%
    Switzerland 18.13%
    Draw 26.08%
ItalyDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 16.07%
2-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.44%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 55.77%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 3.24%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.13%

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