SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Belgium |
32.52% ( -0.09) | 23.79% ( -0) | 43.68% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.03) | 40.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.03) | 63.24% ( 0.04) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( -0.07) | 24.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( -0.1) | 59.02% ( 0.11) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( 0.03) | 18.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( 0.04) | 50.53% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Belgium |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.68% |
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