SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 82.16%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 5.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.01%) and 1-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovakia | Draw | Estonia |
82.16% ( -0.09) | 12.62% ( 0.17) | 5.22% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 37.31% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( -1.31) | 39.59% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( -1.37) | 61.93% ( 1.37) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( -0.3) | 7.36% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.44% ( -0.78) | 26.56% ( 0.77) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.27% ( -1.21) | 59.72% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.49% ( -0.64) | 90.51% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovakia | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.51)4-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.95% Total : 82.15% | 1-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.32% Total : 12.62% | 0-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.43% Total : 5.22% |
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