A long-awaited win could be on the cards for Azerbaijan, as they have the benefit of home advantage and Estonia do not tend to travel well. Neither side is watertight in defence, so goals are surely guaranteed at Qabala City Stadium, where the hosts can keep hopes of League C survival alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Estonia has a probability of 14.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Estonia win it is 0-1 (4.76%).

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Estonia
65.58% ( -2.49)	20.27% ( 1.14)	14.16% ( 1.35)

Both teams to score 48.41% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

-1.95)

45.97% (

1.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73% (

-1.87)

68.27% (

1.87)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.81% (

-1.29)

13.19% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.09% (

-2.68)

39.91% (

2.68)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.77% (

0.85)

44.23% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.69% (

0.69)

80.31% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 65.57%

Estonia 14.16%

Draw 20.27%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Estonia
2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.5) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.85% Total : 65.57%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.27%	0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.16%