SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Slovakia |
52.72% ( 0.09) | 24.32% ( -0.02) | 22.96% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( 0.02) | 49.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( 0.01) | 71.78% ( -0.02) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.04) | 18.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( 0.07) | 50.28% ( -0.07) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.05) | 36.29% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -0.05) | 73.07% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.72% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.96% |
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