SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Montenegro |
54.15% ( -0.05) | 25.07% ( -0.01) | 20.78% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( 0.08) | 54.92% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( 0.07) | 76.21% ( -0.07) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( 0.01) | 20.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% ( 0.02) | 52.62% ( -0.02) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( 0.1) | 41.36% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.12% ( 0.09) | 77.88% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Montenegro |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.78% |
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