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Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
MN

Turkey
1 - 0
Montenegro

Kahveci (69')
Guler (65'), Kokcu (90+3'), Ayhan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Brnovic (89'), Osmajic (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Wales
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Turkey 2-0 Montenegro

Considering the results of both teams in 2024 and their starts in the Nations League, Turkey will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in this fixture. Montenegro have kept only three clean sheets in their last 13 internationals and they may struggle to keep the hosts' fearsome frontline quiet on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Turkey in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Turkey.

Result
TurkeyDrawMontenegro
61.53% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 21.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 17.06% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (0.076000000000001 0.08)45.43% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.073 0.07)67.76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (0.11900000000001 0.12)40.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (0.108 0.11)76.68% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 61.51%
    Montenegro 17.06%
    Draw 21.42%
TurkeyDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 61.51%
1-1 @ 10.17%
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.22%
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 0-0 Turkey
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey
Saturday, July 6 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Turkey
Tuesday, July 2 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Czech Republic 1-2 Turkey
Wednesday, June 26 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Turkey 0-3 Portugal
Saturday, June 22 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Wales
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-3 Georgia
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 1-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Belarus 0-2 Montenegro
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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