SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 60.74% | 20.87% ( 0.01) | 18.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( -0.04) | 40.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.9% ( -0.04) | 63.1% ( 0.04) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( -0.01) | 12.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.53% ( -0.02) | 39.47% ( 0.03) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0.03) | 35.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( -0.03) | 72.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 60.74% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.87% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.39% |
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