SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Glenavon | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Linfield | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
47.37% ( -0.69) | 25.09% ( -0.06) | 27.53% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( 0.76) | 49.25% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( 0.68) | 71.31% ( -0.68) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( 0.02) | 20.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% ( 0.02) | 53.49% ( -0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( 0.99) | 32.13% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( 1.11) | 68.61% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
