NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 2
Carrick

Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Carrick Rangers
47.37% ( -0.69)	25.09% ( -0.06)	27.53% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 53.74% (

0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

0.76)

49.25% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

0.68)

71.31% (

-0.68)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

0.02)

20.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.51% (

0.02)

53.49% (

-0.02)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

0.99)

32.13% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

1.11)

68.61% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 47.36%

Carrick Rangers 27.53%

Draw 25.08%

Glenavon	Draw	Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.36%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.53%