SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
36.57% ( 0.02) | 25.59% ( -0) | 37.83% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( 0.01) | 48.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( 0.01) | 70.52% ( -0.01) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.3% ( 0.02) | 60.7% ( -0.02) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( -0.01) | 25.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.26% ( -0.01) | 59.74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.57% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.83% |
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