SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Loughgall |
47.88% ( -0.15) | 22.98% ( 0.03) | 29.14% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.33% ( -0.05) | 38.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.02% ( -0.06) | 60.98% ( 0.06) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0.08) | 16.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.82% ( -0.14) | 46.17% ( 0.14) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( 0.06) | 25.57% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( 0.07) | 60.44% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 47.88% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.14% |
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