SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
38.63% ( 0.23) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 35.41% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.02) | 50.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( 0.02) | 72.02% ( -0.01) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.14) | 25.39% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( 0.19) | 60.19% ( -0.18) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( -0.11) | 27.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.37% ( -0.16) | 62.63% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
