SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
41.47% ( 0.26) | 28.41% ( 0.15) | 30.12% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.36% ( -0.65) | 60.64% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.28% ( -0.49) | 80.72% ( 0.49) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.17) | 28.8% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.21) | 64.65% ( 0.21) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( -0.66) | 36.2% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% ( -0.68) | 72.98% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.93% Total : 30.11% |
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