SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
53.2% ( 0.9) | 23.55% ( -0.53) | 23.25% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( 1.87) | 46.24% ( -1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( 1.74) | 68.53% ( -1.74) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( 1.03) | 17.33% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( 1.78) | 47.7% ( -1.78) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( 0.7) | 34.06% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( 0.74) | 70.75% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.78% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.25% |
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