Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.