SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Larne |
15.68% ( -0.05) | 23.31% ( -0) | 61% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.05% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( -0.07) | 55.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( -0.06) | 76.41% ( 0.06) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.11) | 47.65% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.03% ( -0.08) | 82.97% ( 0.08) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( -0.01) | 17.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% ( -0.02) | 48.46% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.69% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 14.62% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 12.63% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 60.99% |
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