SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
15.41% ( -0.06) | 22.03% ( -0) | 62.56% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( -0.07) | 50.81% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( -0.06) | 72.69% ( 0.06) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.59% ( -0.12) | 45.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.74% ( -0.09) | 81.25% ( 0.09) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0) | 15.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( -0) | 44.76% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.41% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 12.21% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 62.55% |
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