SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Crusaders |
17.63% ( -0.02) | 21.74% ( -0) | 60.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( -0.01) | 45.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( -0.01) | 68.17% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.39% ( -0.02) | 39.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% ( -0.02) | 76.29% ( 0.03) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( 0) | 14.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.18% ( 0.01) | 42.82% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 17.63% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.41% 0-5 @ 1.26% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.63% |
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