NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Malone (74')
Campbell (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Rourke (45+1'),
Heatley (65'), Owens (90+3')
Heatley (58'), Larmour (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result |
| Glenavon | Draw | Crusaders |
17.63% ( -0.02) | 21.74% ( -0) | 60.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.02) |
| 54.14% ( -0.01) | 45.86% ( 0.01) |
| 31.83% ( -0.01) | 68.17% ( 0.01) |
| 60.39% ( -0.02) | 39.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.71% ( -0.02) | 76.29% ( 0.03) |
| 85.33% ( 0) | 14.67% ( -0) |
