Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Crusaders
23.78% ( -0.01)	23.82% ( -0)	52.39% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1% (

0.01)

46.89% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

69.14% (

-0)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

-0)

33.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0)

70.62% (

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

17.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

0.01)

48.64% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 23.78%

Crusaders 52.39%

Draw 23.82%

Glenavon	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.23% Total : 23.78%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.82%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.39%