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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
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Crusaders
2 - 0
Glenavon

Heatley (44'), Lowry (58')
Clarke (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Quinn (45')
Brown (82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 0-3 Cliftonville
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
59.1% (-0.176 -0.18) 21.45% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 19.45% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (-0.134 -0.13)41.71% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (-0.136 -0.14)64.11% (0.13 0.13)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)13.78% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-0.192 -0.19)41.09% (0.188 0.19)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03)35.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (0.035 0.04)71.9% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 59.1%
    Glenavon 19.45%
    Draw 21.44%
CrusadersDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 59.1%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.45%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Crusaders 0-3 Cliftonville
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Loughgall
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 2-2 Crusaders
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 9-0 Carrick
Tuesday, August 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 2-2 Glenavon
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-3 Newry City AFC
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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