Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
Result | ||
Crusaders | Draw | Glenavon |
59.1% ( -0.18) | 21.45% ( 0.06) | 19.45% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( -0.13) | 41.71% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( -0.14) | 64.11% ( 0.13) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% ( -0.1) | 13.78% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% ( -0.19) | 41.09% ( 0.19) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.85% ( 0.03) | 35.15% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.09% ( 0.04) | 71.9% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Crusaders | Draw | Glenavon |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 59.1% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.45% |
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