SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
59.83% ( -0.96) | 20.5% ( 0.41) | 19.67% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.05% ( -1.11) | 36.95% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.87% ( -1.21) | 59.13% ( 1.21) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( -0.6) | 12.06% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.44% ( -1.29) | 37.56% ( 1.29) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.11) | 32.15% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( -0.13) | 68.64% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.21% Total : 59.83% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.67% |
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