SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
| 20.23% | 20.59% | 59.18% |
| Both teams to score 60.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% | 36.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% | 58.68% |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% | 31.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% | 12.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.33% | 37.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
| 2-1 @ 5.39% 1-0 @ 4.4% 2-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.61% Total : 20.23% | 1-1 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 8.46% 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 6.91% 0-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.65% 0-4 @ 3.15% 2-4 @ 2.11% 1-5 @ 1.54% 0-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 4.24% Total : 59.18% |
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